Breaking alerts
Only a confirmed, market-moving event (a war turn, a surprise print, a halt) triggers an alert. Commentary never does.
The news filter
Market-moving news for the Nasdaq and TQQQ
The headlines our news filter rated critical: war, oil, the Fed, inflation and trade. Each one explained in plain English, with what it can mean for the Nasdaq-100 and TQQQ.
October 13, 2026
- Iran Threatens to Sink US Warships Approaching Strait of Hormuz · war · via Vietnam.vn
Iran has threatened to sink US warships approaching the Strait of Hormuz.
October 12, 2026
- Strait of Hormuz Closure Cuts Fertilizer Flow as Famine Warnings Grow · trade · via X
The Strait of Hormuz closure is disrupting fertilizer supplies and intensifying famine warnings, with natural gas and urea used for nitrogen fertilizer unable to move.
- Iran Rejects U.S. Hormuz Reply, Threatens Regional Tech Infrastructure · war · via La Voce di New York
Iran has rejected a U.S. reply concerning Hormuz and warned about technology infrastructure in the region.
- Iran Leader's Advisor Warns Enemies Will Drown in Strait of Hormuz · war · via اسلام تايمز
An advisor to Iran's leader issued a warning about the country's enemies in the Strait of Hormuz.
October 11, 2026
- Iran Says US Accepted Only Some of 7 Cease-Fire Terms, Vows Hormuz Stays Shut · war · via 헤럴드경제
Iran says the US accepted only part of its seven cease-fire conditions and vows to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed.
- Trump Announces Russia-Ukraine Energy Ceasefire, Zelenskiy Surprised · war · via Reuters
Trump announced an energy ceasefire involving Ukraine and Russia, and the development surprised Zelenskiy.
- Trump says Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire is effective immediately · war · via Trump/TruthSocial
President Donald Trump said on TruthSocial that an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is effective immediately.
October 10, 2026
- Iran's Guards Say Tanker Hit Mine and Exploded in Strait of Hormuz · oil · via The Economic Times
Iran's Guards reported that a tanker exploded after striking a mine in the Strait of Hormuz.
October 8, 2026
- Tankers Hit Mines in Strait of Hormuz, IRIB Reports Heavy Blasts · oil · via Yeni Şafak English
Heavy explosions were reported in the Strait of Hormuz after tankers struck mines.
- US imposes fresh sanctions targeting Iran's shadow fleet · policy · via Reuters
New U.S. measures target Iran's shadow fleet.
- Tankers Hit Mines in Strait of Hormuz, Blasts Reported: Fars · oil · via Forex Factory
Reports say tankers hitting mines caused blasts in the Strait of Hormuz.
- Iran Vows to Block More Hormuz Routes as Tanker Attack Risks Rise · war · via Reuters
Iran vows to block more Hormuz routes while attack risks for tankers rise.
- Most Gulf bourses end lower as Hormuz attacks hit wartime peak · war · via Reuters
Most Gulf stock markets finished lower while attacks around Hormuz reached a wartime peak.
- Trump Says US Won't Attack Iran Before November Midterm Elections · war · via Reuters
Trump said the US will not attack Iran before the November midterm elections.
- Strait of Hormuz Tanker Attacks Hit Weekly High Since US-Iran War · war · via Marine Insight
Tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz have reached their highest weekly level since the US-Iran war began.
- Tanker attacks in Strait of Hormuz raise oil shortage fears · oil · via The New Voice of Ukraine
Attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz are increasing oil shortage fears and pushing oil prices higher.
- Hormuz Attacks Weigh on Saudi Stocks, Rattle Investor Nerves · war · via Finimize
Attacks in the Strait of Hormuz rattled investor nerves while Saudi stocks slipped.
- Strait of Hormuz transits at lowest in over two months after attacks, data shows · oil · via Reuters
Transits through the Strait of Hormuz have dropped to their lowest in over two months following attacks, with data showing the decline.
- Tanker Attack Off Qatar Marks First Deep-Gulf Incident in Nearly a Month · oil · via Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
A vessel off Qatar was hit in the first deep-Gulf tanker attack in nearly a month.
October 7, 2026
- Iran Warns It Could Choke Off Hormuz Alternative Routes · oil · via middle-east-online.com
A threat from Iran targets alternative routes through Hormuz.
- 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.67%, Highest Since 2002-05 · markets · via rates_watch (yfinance ^TNX/^TYX)
The 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.67%, the highest since 2002-05.
- Iran Official Says Illegal Routes in Strait of Hormuz to Be Blocked · oil · via Reuters
An Iranian official says routes described as illegal in the Strait of Hormuz are set to be blocked soon.
October 2, 2026
- Wall Street Stocks Gain After Jobs Data Calms Fed-Hike Fears · fed · via Bloomberg Markets
A jobs report eased concerns about Federal Reserve rate hikes, and stocks moved higher in the market wrap.
October 1, 2026
- Tanker Fire in Strait of Hormuz After Unknown Projectile Strike · oil · via Anadolu Ajansı
A tanker was struck by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz and caught fire, the UK maritime agency says.
- UK maritime group: Tanker struck by unknown projectile in Strait of Hormuz · oil · via The Times of Israel
A UK maritime group reports a tanker was hit by an unidentified projectile in the Strait of Hormuz.
- Iran Signals Stronger Retaliation If Attacked While Diplomacy Struggles · war · via Reuters
Iran is readying a stronger retaliation if attacked, while diplomatic efforts face long odds.
- US Sanctions Iran Auto and Rail After Blockade Chokes Shipping Lanes · policy · via Reuters
The US has sanctioned Iran's automotive and rail sectors following a blockade that has choked shipping lanes.
- Trump says he got rid of Iran nuclear threat in one night, not 4-6 weeks · war · via Trump/TruthSocial
President Donald Trump said he got rid of the Iran nuclear threat in one night after saying it would take 4-6 weeks.
September 30, 2026
- Gold Holds Steady After Softer Inflation Cools Fed Rate-Hike Bets · inflation · via Bloomberg Markets
Gold held steady after softer inflation data moderated expectations for Federal Reserve rate increases.
- Fed's preferred inflation gauge runs cooler than forecast · inflation · via Bloomberg Markets
The Fed's closely watched inflation gauge came in below expectations, a reading that can influence rate expectations.
- Hormuz Tanker Strikes Tie to US-Iran Navigation Dispute · oil · via Palestine Chronicle
Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is in focus after two vessels were struck amid a US-Iran navigation dispute.
- US Core PCE Rises 0.2% as August Consumer Spending Soars · inflation · via Bloomberg Markets
US core PCE inflation rose 0.2% while consumer spending surged in August.
- Gold Holds Steady as Market Waits for US Inflation Indicator · inflation · via Bloomberg Markets
Gold held steady while the market waited for a key U.S. inflation reading.
September 28, 2026
- Wall St opens lower as oil spikes after Trump rejects Iran peace proposal · oil · via Reuters
Wall Street opened lower and oil spiked after Trump rejected an Iran peace proposal.
September 27, 2026
- Eight US Marines Injured in Iranian Missile Attack in Strait of Hormuz · war · via The Express Tribune
Eight U.S. Marines were reported injured after an Iranian missile attack in the Strait of Hormuz.
September 26, 2026
- China, US Agree to AI Dialogue and Tariff Cuts on $30B Goods During Xi Visit · trade · via Reuters
The US and China agreed to an AI dialogue and tariff cuts on $30 billion in goods during Xi's visit.
September 25, 2026
- US Treasury Yields Hit 5% as Wall Street Faces New Rate Regime · markets · via Bloomberg Markets
US Treasury yields reached 5%, and Wall Street is facing a new rate regime.
September 24, 2026
- ICE Canola Futures Rise Following Hormuz Strait Attacks · oil · via Country Guide
Agricultural commodity prices climb as Middle East tensions raise supply-chain concerns.
- Senate Rejects Measure to Limit Trump's Iran Military Powers · policy · via Reuters
Congressional Democrats fail to constrain the President's authority over Iran policy.
- 80 Nations at UN Call for Hormuz Reopening, Condemn Iran · war · via Reuters
A broad coalition of countries demands resolution of Strait blockade amid attacks.
- US, Iran in Talks on Phased Hormuz Deal and Blockade Lift · policy · via Reuters
Diplomatic negotiations underway to resolve Strait tensions and sanctions through a phased agreement.
- New US Sanctions Ground Iranian Commercial Flights · policy · via Reuters
Expanded sanctions target Iranian aviation and restrict the country's air operations.
- Oil Surges on Iran Threat to Expand Middle East Conflict · war · via Bloomberg Markets
Crude prices spike as Iran signals potential escalation of regional hostilities.
- Trump, Xi Mark Extension of US-China Trade Truce · trade · via Reuters
The world's two largest economies extend their trade agreement as diplomatic engagement continues.
- Hormuz Shipping Volumes Fall Below 10-Day Average · oil · via Reuters
Vessel traffic through a critical Middle East chokepoint remains depressed amid ongoing tensions.
- Global Bonds Decline as Trump and Xi Extend Trade Truce · trade · via Bloomberg Markets
US-China trade agreement advances while global bond markets experience a deeper selloff.
- House Speaker Johnson Says Iran Conflict Must Be Resolved, Warns on Hormuz · war · via benzinga.com
House Speaker Mike Johnson said the Iran conflict needs a resolution and warned about disruption in Hormuz.
September 23, 2026
- IAEA's Grossi: Iran Nuclear Inspections Can Resume Quickly · policy · via Bloomberg Markets
The IAEA's Grossi says nuclear inspections in Iran can be restarted quickly.
How the filter works
War, oil, the Fed, inflation prints and megacap earnings get through. Everything else is thrown out, and the same feed holds back a buy call ahead of a risky event. These are real alerts it passed this year:
Passed the filterreal alerts, 2026
Trump vows to punish Iran for Houthi attacks in Red Sea; oil surges over $100
Stocks sink on Big Tech cash burn; oil hits $100 for first time since May
Apple ends day as world’s most valuable company, passing Nvidia
Oil drops 5% to three-week low after Trump cancels attack on Iran
Trump says US has “total control” over Strait of Hormuz
U.S.-Canada trade talks collapse, ushering in wave of new tariffs
U.S. Navy blockade slashes Iran oil exports
2-year yield hits highest since January 2025 after hot jobs report
Oil surges as Iran threatens to widen Middle East war
US and Iran discuss phased deal to reopen Hormuz and end US blockade
Always scanning
- Reuters
- Bloomberg
- AP
- Finnhub
- White House feed
- Defense & conflict wires
- Strait of Hormuz monitor
- Economic calendar
Checked every 5 minutes, around the clock.
- Keyword gates drop opinion, analyst targets and speculation before anything else runs.
- An impact model scores every survivor for how hard it moves the Nasdaq-100, including de-escalation (oil falling moves TQQQ too).
- Hard events are locked in: rate decisions, CPI and jobs prints, megacap earnings, trading halts, Hormuz closing or reopening. No model can veto them.
≈ 2 of 3 headlines that clear the gates still get thrown out.
What reaches you
Market briefs
06:30, 12:00 and 16:00 PT. Only posted when something new happened; quiet days stay quiet.
It can stop a trade
No new call inside 2 days of a CPI, jobs report, Fed decision, PPI, PCE or retail-sales print, or right before NVIDIA, Apple or Microsoft report.
Thrown out this weekScaramucci’s new bookClimate-summit action planLeader plans Canada tripBank raises price targetPolitical rant, no policy