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The full record: every call, every day we stayed out

Live record · updates automatically

Every call we've published, wins and losses

Win rate
55.6%
5 won · 4 lost
Average result per call
−8.3%
winners +42.2%, losers −71.4%
Calls counted
9
settled at exchange prices
Dates
May 26 – —
Live

Results are per option contract, entry to exit, at exchange prices for the exact option called, before fees and spreads. They are not any member's account.

    Not counted: 3 early calls from May 2026 whose option price was never saved. They are listed on the full record, priced off TQQQ's close and labelled, but never added to these numbers.

    Educational research, not investment advice. We are not a registered investment adviser. Past results do not guarantee future results. Options can lose 100% of what you pay. You decide and place your own trades.

    Full record with each call's original Discord post →

    Every call on the TQQQ chart

    The desk stood aside on 89% of market days. Tap or hover an arrow for the call, or a shaded stretch for a run of cash days.

    ▲call won▲call lost▲price not savedstayed in cashTap or hover an arrow or a shaded stretch for details
    Loading the published tape…

    89% of the time, this desk says don't.Across 145 published sessions since 2026-02-13, it called for no position on 129 of them and took a directional signal on 16.

    Sessions published
    145
    No position
    129 (89%)
    Signals taken
    16 (11%)
    Settled at exchange prices
    9 (5W / 4L, avg -8.3%)

    3 earlier calls have no saved option price. They are listed in the ledger below, priced off TQQQ's close and labelled, and are never added to the count above.

    Frequent trading has documented costs. In one large historical study, The most active retail traders underperform the market by about 6–7% a year. Barber & Odean, “Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth,” Journal of Finance 55(2), 2000. Every no-position row below is a decision this desk recorded and stands behind — not a gap in the data.

    Discord proof for every call

    9 of 16 buy calls link to the original Discord post. The time is Discord's own timestamp, set when the post went out, and it can't be edited afterwards.

    CallOptionDiscord postResult
    Oct 8, 2026TQQQ $82C exp 10/30Posted Oct 8, 6:35 AM PDT-81.3%
    Oct 5, 2026TQQQ $80C exp 10/23Posted Oct 5, 6:35 AM PDT+29.7%
    Oct 2, 2026TQQQ $81C exp 10/23Posted Oct 2, 6:35 AM PDT+41.8%
    Jun 3, 2026TQQQ $90C exp 6/12Posted Jun 3, 6:35 AM PDT-67.2%
    Jun 2, 2026TQQQ $86C exp 6/26Posted Jun 2, 6:35 AM PDT-53.1%
    Jun 1, 2026TQQQ $85C exp 6/18Posted Jun 1, 6:45 AM PDT+46.2%
    May 29, 2026TQQQ $87C exp 6/5Posted May 29, 6:45 AM PDT-84%
    May 28, 2026TQQQ $83.50C exp 6/5Posted May 28, 6:45 AM PDT+34.5%
    May 27, 2026TQQQ callsPosted May 27, 9:51 AM PDTno saved price
    May 26, 2026TQQQ $82C exp 6/5Before our Discord opened (May 27, 2026)+58.8%
    May 24, 2026TQQQ $75CBefore our Discord opened (May 27, 2026)+80%
    May 13, 2026TQQQ $75CBefore our Discord opened (May 27, 2026)+226.3%
    May 5, 2026TQQQ $65CBefore our Discord opened (May 27, 2026)+262.8%
    Feb 25, 2026TQQQ callsBefore our Discord opened (May 27, 2026)no saved price
    Feb 24, 2026TQQQ callsBefore our Discord opened (May 27, 2026)no saved price
    Feb 18, 2026TQQQ callsBefore our Discord opened (May 27, 2026)no saved price

    Links open in Discord. Join the free server to see them.

    The picks

    12 calls settled: 8 winners, 4 losers. Every one is below.

    May 5set by TQQQ close

    TQQQ $65C

    +262.8%

    held 10 trading days

    May 13set by TQQQ close

    TQQQ $75C

    +226.3%

    held 10 trading days

    May 24set by TQQQ close

    TQQQ $75C

    +80%

    +80% target hit May 26

    May 26real option prices

    TQQQ $82C exp 6/5

    +58.8%

    sold May 28, real fill

    Jun 1real option prices

    TQQQ $85C exp 6/18

    +46.2%

    $426 → $623 per contract

    Oct 2real option prices

    TQQQ $81C exp 10/23

    +41.8%

    $425 → $603 per contract

    May 28real option prices

    TQQQ $83.50C exp 6/5

    +34.5%

    $220 → $296 per contract

    Oct 5real option prices

    TQQQ $80C exp 10/23

    +29.7%

    $450 → $584 per contract

    The 4 losses, and what changed

    May 29TQQQ $87C exp 6/5-84%$163 → $26 per contract

    Why: Fourth call in four sessions — inside the system’s own 5-session spacing rule. It was pulled 42 minutes after it went out; we count it as a full loss anyway. It was up +50.9% before the June 4 gap took out the stop.

    Fixed: Alerts now dispatch only from the final verdict, which carries the spacing block (Sep 8).

    Jun 2TQQQ $86C exp 6/26-53.1%$559 → $262 per contract

    Why: Opened three sessions before the June 5 jobs report. The economic calendar was loaded but never gated entries, so nothing stopped a call straddling a binary macro print. The stop hit on report day, when TQQQ closed −14.3%.

    Fixed: Blocked today by the spacing rule (a call fired the session before), with the jobs report now flagged on the calendar.

    Jun 3TQQQ $90C exp 6/12-67.2%$229 → $75 per contract

    Why: A 9-day call opened two sessions before the jobs report — the same calendar gap. TQQQ gapped down at the June 4 open and the stop filled there.

    Fixed: New entries are now blocked within 2 days of NFP, CPI, FOMC, PPI, PCE and retail sales, from a live, time-zone-correct calendar (Jun 4; feed rebuilt Sep 22).

    Oct 8TQQQ $82C exp 10/30-81.3%$459 → $86 per contract

    The spacing and calendar blocks alone would have stopped all three of these calls. They also would have skipped the May 28 win.

    Results are per option contract, from the call's entry to its exit. "Real option prices" are exchange prints for the exact contract called. May 5, May 13, May 24: the result is set by TQQQ's real closing price; that option's entry print wasn't archived. Not any member's account; fees and spreads not included.

    Steve's live trades

    The calls above are what the system called. These are trades Steve placed with real money on Robinhood around the same days. Winners only, picked by Steve, so they're not a full account record, and they're kept out of every signal stat.

    TQQQ 5/15/2026 Call $69.00

    +120.0%

    Bought 2026-05-05 at $1.75
    Sold 2026-05-06 at $3.85

    Real Robinhood fill

    TQQQ 5/15/2026 Call $75.00

    +96.6%

    Bought 2026-05-12 at $1.49
    Sold 2026-05-13 at $2.93

    Real Robinhood fill

    TQQQ 5/22/2026 Call $75.00

    +112.3%

    Bought 2026-05-21 at $1.30
    Sold 2026-05-21 at $2.76

    Real Robinhood fill

    Gross option-premium return: (sell price / buy price - 1) × 100, rounded to one decimal; excludes fees and taxes. Not account returns. Account numbers and position sizes are left out. Download the fills (JSON)

    Hypothetical If you'd started with $500

    Hypothetical: $500 → $356 from May 26 to Oct 14, putting a quarter of the account on each call

    This is a simulation, not a real account. Each sizing rule is run on the 9 real calls with exchange prices, in order, starting with $500. Each new call gets a set share of the account, and winnings roll into the next one. Calls that overlapped are handled the way they'd really happen: money stuck in an open option can't be used for the next call.

    • 10% of the account per call$454 −9%
    • 25% per call$356 −29%
    • Half the account per call$515 +3%
    • All-in on every call$34 −93%

    Why a quarter, not half? In our testing on the full history of this kind of call, 15–25% of the account per call was the only range that grew; at half the account or more, the losing calls took back more than the winning ones made. Bigger is not faster.

    The 3 earlier calls with no saved option price (May 24, May 13, May 5) are left out of this simulation entirely. This lets you buy any dollar amount; at $500 you'd often be limited to one contract ($163–$559), so real results would be lumpier. Past calls don't promise future ones, and each option can go to zero.

    HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

    Signal ledger

    1. Oct 9 – Oct 15Stood aside5 sessions4 cash · 1 read, no new trade
    2. Oct 8▲ CALLSTQQQ $82C exp 10/30-81.3%real prices · Discord post
    3. Oct 6 – Oct 7Stood aside2 sessions2 cash
    4. Oct 5▲ CALLSTQQQ $80C exp 10/23+29.7%real prices · Discord post
    5. Oct 2▲ CALLSTQQQ $81C exp 10/23+41.8%real prices · Discord post
    6. Jun 4 – Oct 1Stood aside85 sessions76 cash · 7 setup forming · 2 read, no new trade
    7. Jun 3▲ CALLSTQQQ $90C exp 6/12-67.2%real prices · Discord post
    8. Jun 2▲ CALLSTQQQ $86C exp 6/26-53.1%real prices · Discord post
    9. Jun 1▲ CALLSTQQQ $85C exp 6/18+46.2%real prices · Discord post
    10. May 29▲ CALLSTQQQ $87C exp 6/5-84%real prices · Discord post
    11. May 28▲ CALLSTQQQ $83.50C exp 6/5+34.5%real prices · Discord post
    12. May 27▲ CALLSno settled resultpost only · Discord post
    13. May 26▲ CALLSTQQQ $82C exp 6/5+58.8%real prices
    14. May 25Stood aside1 session1 cash
    15. May 24▲ CALLSTQQQ $75C+80%set by TQQQ close
    16. May 19 – May 22Stood aside4 sessions2 setup forming · 2 cash
    17. May 13▲ CALLSTQQQ $75C+226.3%set by TQQQ close
    18. May 5▲ CALLSTQQQ $65C+262.8%set by TQQQ close
    19. Apr 6 – Apr 8Stood aside3 sessions3 cash
    20. Feb 26 – Apr 1Stood aside22 sessions22 cash
    21. Feb 25▲ CALLSno settled resultpost only
    22. Feb 24▲ CALLSno settled resultpost only
    23. Feb 19 – Feb 23Stood aside3 sessions3 cash
    24. Feb 18▲ CALLSno settled resultpost only
    25. Feb 13 – Feb 17Stood aside4 sessions4 cash

    Cash: no setup, stayed out. Setup forming: some conditions lined up, full signal didn't fire, so no position. Read, no contract: a directional view was published without a trade behind it.

    Download JSONDownload CSVGet the next call at the open
    Provenance labels and ledger fields

    Provenance labels

    • real prices (market-observed): settled from exchange option prints for the called contract, or a real fill.
    • set by TQQQ close (modeled in the downloads): the call's result is set by TQQQ's real closing price; that option's entry print wasn't archived.
    • post only (signal-post-only): the published view; no option outcome asserted.

    In the downloads, CAUTION is the day shown on this page as SETUP FORMING: some conditions lined up, the full signal didn't fire, no position.

    Ledger fields

    The downloads carry one row per session: date, direction, settlement state, sample period, provenance, and — for settled picks — the contract, result, peak and entry/exit prices. signal_time, discord_source_identifier and model_version stay null when that evidence is missing. Open trades are withheld until they settle. Results are per-contract option moves, not account returns, and each row keeps its price-source label.

    Results are per option contract, entry to exit, from exchange prices for the contract called; where an entry print was not archived, the result is set by TQQQ's real close and labelled so. They are not any member's account and do not include fees, spreads, taxes or missed fills. Signals published from 2026-09-04 carry a timestamped Discord message id. Past results do not predict future results.