Steve's Read · September 1, 2026
Rising bond yields, not Iran, are the real pressure on TQQQ today
Legacy public analysis
BEARISH
We stay bearish: rising Treasury yields driven by oil and inflation fears keep compressing the growth-stock valuations that TQQQ amplifies, and calm volatility means that risk isn't fully reflected yet.
Watch: Manufacturers' inflation report (ISM Prices Paid) at 7am PT · 10-year Treasury yield versus the 4.80% level · White House confirmation of reported Iran strikes
Iran's tanker strikes are real, but they're not moving tech stocks today. Our volatility gauge stays calm. The real driver: bond yields hit their highest since 2008 — the 10-year Treasury sits at 4.78%, up 3% in five days. Gold's down 6.7%, defense stocks down 2.1% — markets aren't pricing war risk. Oil, up 12% in three weeks, is pushing rates higher instead.
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